COVID-19 — Who is at the greatest risk?

Dr Ross Walker
4 min readAug 26, 2020


We have all heard repeatedly since almost the start of the year that 2020 will change the way we think about living, possibly indefinitely. Until we have an effective and safe vaccine or 70% of the community have been exposed in some way to the coronavirus, we will have to continue to live with a number of restrictions placed on our day-to-day activities.

Everyone is well aware that those at greatest risk are the sick, elderly and most vulnerable members of the community. But, evidence has emerged since this pandemic has gripped the world that other specific groups are also at risk of developing the more severe versions of COVID-19 and are at greater risk for death. Interestingly, the data from the USA has suggested that Blacks and Latinos are at anywhere between 2 to 3 times greater risk for death and the more serious complications of COVID-19 compared with the Caucasian population.

It is my opinion that the best explanation for this is the insulin resistance gene which occurs in 30% of Caucasians, 50% of Asians and close to 100% of people with darker skin. This insulin resistance gene’s clinical manifestation is known as metabolic syndrome and is, in fact, the most common genetic abnormality in the world. This gene evolved thousands of years ago because it is a survival advantage if you are a hunter gatherer but a distinct survival disadvantage in the modern world.

As a hunter gatherer, the gene allows you to store some degree of belly fat when you had an acute kill & consumed the beast immediately, as there were no prehistoric Kelvinators. You would then live off this belly fat with minimal food for a few days until the next kill. But, bring in the modern world where we have breakfast, lunch and dinner and sit on our backsides all day and thus this stored belly fat becomes progressive and leads to all of the clinical issues seen with metabolic syndrome.

Photo by frankie cordoba on Unsplash

Thus, those born with the insulin resistant gene find it very easy to put on weight around the belly, develop diabetes, hypertension and specific cholesterol abnormalities where the triglycerides are elevated and the so-called good cholesterol, HDL, is low. There is also an association with metabolic syndrome and increased cardiovascular disease, cancer, fatty liver and gout.

A recent article published in Diabetes Care examined the link between metabolic syndrome and COVID-19. The researchers from New Orleans assessed the outcomes for 287 patients admitted with COVID-19. More than 85% of these patients in the study were non-Hispanic Blacks. The mean age was 61 years and 57% were women. 80% had known hypertension, 65% obese, 54% diabetes and 39% had a low HDL cholesterol. The groups were divided into those with metabolic syndrome and those without. 66% of the patients in the study were diagnosed with metabolic syndrome and when compared to the patients without metabolic syndrome, 56% versus 24% were admitted to intensive care. 48% versus 18% were placed on a ventilator, 37% versus 11% developed severe respiratory disease, whilst 26% versus 10% died from the condition. The conclusion of the study was that any patients, regardless of age, with metabolic syndrome should take stringent precautions to avoid developing COVID-19.

Another study published in the Journal PLOS ONE from the University of Glasgow included just under 429,000 adults aged between 37 to 73 and found those with multiple comorbid conditions were at a greater risk of developing COVID-19 and at a higher risk for the more serious complications. Basically, the more comorbidities and the more pharmaceutical drugs are linked to a higher risk of developing COVID-19. The study found that the presence of two or more conditions such as diabetes and high blood pressure led to a 77% higher risk for a positive COVID-19 test. For those who were non-white, the presence of multi morbidity increased the risk three times. The study basically found that the following four factors place people at the highest risk for COVID-19

  1. Socio-economically deprived areas
  2. Non-white ethnicity
  3. Morbid obesity
  4. Impaired kidney function

To add to this body of research, a study from the US published in the journal, World Medical and Health Policy showed morbid obesity significantly predisposes patients to a higher rate of COVID-19 infection and death.

It has been often quoted that diabesity is the major epidemic of the 21st-century. Although some would argue that this has now been surpassed by the coronavirus, it appears that the combination of diabesity (a major feature of metabolic syndrome) and COVID-19 has the strong possibility of being a deadly duo. Although insulin resistance is a genetic disorder, poor lifestyle habits are the major factors that take this common gene and turn it into metabolic syndrome which is where all the problems begin. This is definitely an example of your “genes loading the gun but your environment pulling the trigger”.



Dr Ross Walker

Dr Walker is an expert in the field of preventative cardiology and has published seven books. He gives lectures nationally and internationally.